INDIA MARKET LENS

29 SEP 2026 · 08:05 IST

Nifty falls as oil, yields and foreign selling weigh on Indian equities

The session’s pressure reflected the combination of geopolitical uncertainty, higher energy costs, rising yields and foreign outflows; August industrial output was a counterpoint, though the reported estimate carries a base-effect caveat.

Oil-supply concerns and rising global yields framed Monday’s broad equity decline, while foreign investors sold and domestic institutions bought. August industrial production strengthened year-on-year, but economists cited a favourable base effect. The near-term market focus remains on global risk appetite, energy costs and the rupee’s implications for inflation and funding conditions.

Sector performance, latest session
Pharma & Health-0.24%
IT-0.26%
Telecom & Internet-0.64%
Auto-1.16%
Cement & Materials-1.19%
Banks-1.36%
FMCG & Retail-1.5%
Metals-1.51%
Consumer Durables-1.52%
Oil & Energy-1.8%
Power-2.15%
Infra & Industrials-2.8%
Source: India Market Lens price store

22,780.25

-1.56%

Close, 28 SEP 2026

54,471.65

-1.99%

Close, 28 SEP 2026

72,806.01

-1.47%

Close, 28 SEP 2026

Index trend, rebased to 100
1009510008-2709-1009-28
Over the windowNifty 50-5.4%Bank Nifty-5.3%Sensex-5.4%
Source: India Market Lens price store

Indian equities: global risk-off meets domestic exposure

Indian equities weakened in a broad risk-off session on Monday. Market reports linked the selling to renewed uncertainty over the US-Iran conflict after US President Donald Trump rejected Iran’s proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The prospect of continued disruption supported higher oil prices, while rising US Treasury yields and foreign outflows added pressure.

Bajaj Finance, Kotak Mahindra Bank and HDFC Bank were among the stocks cited as leading the Sensex decline. Reports also named Reliance Industries, SBI, ICICI Bank, Adani Ports, L&T and Power Grid among the large-cap laggards. The explanation offered was primarily macro-driven selling rather than a common company-specific trigger. Analysts also pointed to concern about a higher rate outlook and possible pressure on banks’ net interest margins.

Pharma, IT and telecom were relatively more resilient, but the available reports did not identify a specific catalyst for those sectors. Their relative performance is consistent with investors favouring areas seen as less directly exposed to energy costs; that is an interpretation, not a confirmed explanation. Oil, power and infrastructure stocks lagged amid the broad sell-off, with no separate sector-specific trigger established in the material.

Top Stories: Tata Sons plan to stay private, Nifty hits 6-month low and SC questions UPI charges · Sensex crashes over 1,000 points, Nifty50 below 22,850; erases nearly ₹6 lakh cr in an hour · Sensex closes over 1,000 points lower: 5 reasons behind today's market fall · Markets open lower as crude surge, FII selling and geopolitical jitters weigh on sentiment · Nifty Plunges 200 Points, Sensex Falls 700; Banking & FMCG Shares Dip

Global cues and flows

US shares closed lower on Monday as Treasury yields rose and oil remained elevated amid the impasse over the Strait of Hormuz. The rise in global yields can make dollar assets more competitive with emerging-market equities; for India, the combination of expensive energy and a weaker rupee also raises concern about import costs and inflation. Those are potential channels of pressure, not proof of a direct cause for any one stock move.

Monday’s Asian market closes were mixed, with losses in Japan, South Korea and mainland China while Hong Kong was higher. Foreign institutional investors were provisional net sellers of Rs 5,353.22 crore in Indian equities on Monday, while domestic institutions were net buyers of around Rs 5,189 crore, according to exchange data cited by Moneycontrol. Domestic buying provided a counterweight but did not offset the foreign selling and broader risk aversion.

Policy and macro: stronger factory output, higher bond yields

The National Statistics Office reported that industrial production grew 8.0% year-on-year in August, compared with 6.7% in July. Manufacturing output rose 9.0% year-on-year and electricity and gas supply increased 12.3%. The August figure is a quick estimate and can be revised. Economists cited in reports cautioned that a favourable base effect, including inventory adjustments a year earlier ahead of GST rate cuts, supported the comparison.

The Reserve Bank of India accepted Rs 25,000 crore of securities in an open-market sale auction on September 28, according to auction reporting. The benchmark government bond yield also rose, with market reports citing higher US yields, elevated oil and currency pressure as factors. These developments matter for domestic borrowing costs, though the available material does not establish the auction as the cause of the yield move.

Separately, media reports said SEBI was considering a panel to examine rules for stock exchanges listing their own shares. The report was not confirmed by SEBI in the available material. Shares of NSE and BSE came under pressure amid the news; any rule changes would raise governance and conflict-of-interest questions for exchange operators.

Corporate: orders, funding and reported results

On company disclosures, NCC reported a Rs 1,076.71 crore water-supply contract from the Andhra Pradesh government, excluding GST. IRFC said it signed a Rs 4,200 crore term-loan agreement with Damodar Valley Corporation to finance renewable-energy projects in Jharkhand and West Bengal. Vikram Solar disclosed a 400 MW module-supply order for decentralised solar projects in Maharashtra, with deliveries scheduled to begin in October. These announcements add to the companies’ reported order or financing pipelines; the available material did not provide market expectations against which to assess them.

Zydus Lifesciences said the US Food and Drug Administration inspection at its Ahmedabad SEZ II facility had concluded with one observation. Ola Electric’s board approved a rights issue of partly paid-up shares to raise up to Rs 1,000 crore, subject to regulatory and statutory approvals. Coforge appointed Akhil Kumar Gupta as chairman, according to reports.

Among reported quarterly results, Rays of Belief posted Q1 consolidated revenue of Rs 25.3 crore, against Rs 10.7 crore a year earlier, and net profit of Rs 2.79 crore, compared with a loss of Rs 0.53 crore. Prasol Chemicals reported Q1 revenue of Rs 433.6 crore versus Rs 319.6 crore a year earlier, and profit of Rs 61 crore versus Rs 24.3 crore. Consensus estimates were not available in the material, so a beat-or-miss comparison cannot be made.

Primary market

The primary-market calendar is active, with four SME IPOs scheduled to open and a larger group of issues due to close on September 29. Varmora Granito is scheduled to list. Reported IPO calendars provide the event schedule, but the material available does not establish final subscription levels or listing outcomes.

Cross-asset

USD/INR

Rs 96.03 per US dollar (provisional)

weakened 28 paise

2026-09-28

Brent crude

$105.28 a barrel (November futures)

up 0.92%

2026-09-28

Gold

$4,118.66 an ounce (spot)

down 3.9%

2026-09-28

India 10-year government bond yield

7.19%

up 7 basis points

2026-09-28

Levels as reported at the times shown.

Advances and declines

0%rose
Declining13

of 13 sectors

Broad: most sectors fell.

52-week position

Nifty 50-13.5% off high
22,331.426,328.55
Bank Nifty-11.5% off high
50,275.3561,550.8
Sensex-15.1% off high
71,947.5585,762.01

Where each close sits between its own year’s low and high.

Reporting and analysis for the Indian market session of 29 SEP 2026.