INDIA MARKET LENS
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35% dip in one year! ITC shares rise on better Q2 results buzz; experts give buy tag? Target price, stop-loss

ITC moved lower in a quarterly results development.

· LiveMint Markets

ITC share price has fallen over 25% in YTD, but experts are bullish on this ciggerette stock on a better Q2 earnings…

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ITC reported movement of 35% and 25%. Those are the figures as filed — what moves the price is how they sit against what the market already expected, not their absolute size.

Against that, the stock is -3.8% on the day at ₹255.50, and has returned -9.4% over three months. It sits 39% below its 52-week high, which means a good deal of bad news was already in the price. The fmcg sector has moved -4.2% over the same period, so ITC is running 5.2 points behind its peers.

For ITC, the question is how much of this is already reflected in the price and how much re-rates the fmcg peer set alongside it.

  • Earnings versus expectations is what actually re-rates a stock; the surprise matters more than the absolute number.
  • The company directly in focus is ITC.
  • Sector exposure: FMCG.
  • The immediate tone of coverage reads negative.
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