INDIA MARKET LENS
Companies◆ MixedQuarterly Results

HDFC Bank Expects NIM To Improve From Q3 As Loan Repricing Kicks In

HDFC Bank is in focus in a quarterly results development.

· NDTV Profit

HDFC Bank expects margins to improve from the December quarter as repricing of floating-rate loans begins to offset the full-quarter impact of FCNR(B) funding costs.

Against that, the stock is +0.3% on the day at ₹728.85, and has returned -9.8% over three months. It sits 28% below its 52-week high, which means a good deal of bad news was already in the price. The banks sector has moved -3.1% over the same period, so HDFC Bank is running 6.7 points behind its peers.

This is an Asset quality / margins event. For lenders the headline profit is the least informative line. Slippages, credit cost and margin direction determine whether the quarter is repeatable. On the day the stock is +0.3%, so the price barely moved, which suggests this was expected or is seen as immaterial.

For HDFC Bank, the question is how much of this is already reflected in the price and how much re-rates the banks peer set alongside it.

  • Earnings versus expectations is what actually re-rates a stock; the surprise matters more than the absolute number.
  • The company directly in focus is HDFCBANK.
  • Sector exposure: Banks.