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ITC Q2 Results Preview: Profit seen falling nearly 30% YoY as cigarette tax hikes bite

Nuvama rate stocks including ITC.

· Economic Times Markets, ET Stocks

ITC is expected to report a weak Q2, with brokerages forecasting an 8% decline in cigarette volumes and a drop of up to 29% in cigarette operating profit following tax hikes. Nuvama expects consolidated revenue to fall 3% YoY and EBITDA to decline 20%. Growth in FMCG and paper businesses could provide some cushion against the pressure.

Earnings versus expectations is what actually re-rates a stock; the surprise matters more than the absolute number.

  • Brokerage calls from Nuvama, with ratings on the stocks named. The stocks: ITC.
  • Over three months: ITC -6.8% against FMCG -10.7% (3.9 points ahead).
  • At least 25% below the 52-week high: ITC (37%).
Figures for the companies in this story
CompanyPriceDay1M3MFrom 52-wk highVolume vs 20-dayMarket cap
ITCITC · FMCG₹265.60+0.2%+1.1%-6.8%-36.8%0.7×—

FMCG

1M -4.9% · 3M -10.7%

ITC

Prices as of 30 Oct 2026, 16:10 IST. Sector moves are the average of the stocks we track in each sector.

ITCFMCG